Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T07:59:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5db2…defe
crypto · 884 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,216 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,216 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,216
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses405 / 479
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)884 / 884
Avg bet$21
Trades / day16.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 884 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$70
7 days+$69
14 days−$78
30 days−$85
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season SK Gaming 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$10 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$12 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$4 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$7 -49%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $53 +$16 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $91 +$46 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$21 -97%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$3 -27%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $17 +$17 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$8 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $13 −$8 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $30 +$1 +3%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $39 +$30 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $31 +$20 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1AM ET Jun 10 $13 +$14 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$14 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $31 +$13 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Jun 08 $17 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 08 $3 +$8 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 08 $7 −$3 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 08 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 08 $83 +$25 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$5 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 08 $20 −$17 -88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 07 $11 −$11 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 07 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$997
sports 1% −$199
other 0% −$1
world 0% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $18 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $31 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $31 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $27 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $110 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $0 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 -23.3% -30.6% 43% 38% -2.4%
≤30d 210 -18.8% -26.5% 44% 40% -11.4%
≤90d 790 -15.4% -23.5% 44% 36% -17.7%
all 884 -9.9% -18.5% 46% 38% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.5% 38% -15.4%
10% -26.3% 33% -23.5%
15% -33.4% 27% -30.9%
20% -40.0% 23% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2386 history records