Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T05:19:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5D 0x5daa…fb14 crypto 360 markets active 1h ago coverage 29d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$196 (-8%) realized −$196 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR69%break-even
Win rate75%270W / 90L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day14.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$19
14 days−$19
30 days−$212
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$212
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 -6.6% -15.5% 64% 64% -14.8%
≤30d 360 -5.3% -14.3% 75% 69% -17.2%
≤90d 360 -5.3% -14.3% 75% 69% -17.2%
all 360 -5.3% -14.3% 75% 69% -17.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.3% 69% -17.2%
10% -22.5% 32% -25.1%
15% -30.0% 25% -32.3%
20% -36.9% 8% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$7 · ×0.22 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$196
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses270 / 90
Open positions0
Markets (closed)360 / 360
History coverage29d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day14.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 360 Trades
no open positions (90 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 678 history records