trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 9 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 22% | 0% | -13.0% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 22% | 0% | -13.0% |
| all | 26 | -6.4% | -15.3% | 38% | 0% | -13.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.3% | 0% | -13.3% |
| 10% | -23.4% | 0% | -21.6% |
| 15% | -30.8% | 0% | -29.2% |
| 20% | -37.6% | 0% | -36.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | 47¢ | 46¢ | $27 | $26 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 27 | $25 | $0 | -2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 26 | $26 | −$1 | -2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 25 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | May 25 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 24 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 23 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 23 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 23 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 22 | $35 | −$7 | -21% |
| Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 11 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 27 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 30 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? | May 27 | $11 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Lyon win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 19 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 07 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Cana | Apr 06 | $13 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Marcel Ciolacu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runo | Apr 06 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 05 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb | Apr 04 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Elon go on Daily Show before April? | Mar 29 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? | Mar 27 | $3 | $0 | -9% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 20 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election? | Mar 15 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Morehead State vs. Lindenwood | Mar 05 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on March 3? | Mar 03 | $19 | −$6 | -31% |
| Lehigh vs. Loyola Maryland | Mar 03 | $19 | $0 | +0% |