Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:28:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d9e…eb7a
crypto · 67 markets active 2h ago
2.5score
−$36 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$34 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,765
Realized−$34
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses64 / 2
Whale WR (big bets)91%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)66 / 67
History coverage200d
Avg bet$599
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 1 History 66 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$33
14 days+$33
30 days+$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 June 8-14? No 100¢ 100¢ $3,767 $3,765 −$2 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 13 $3,763 +$4 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 10 $3,760 +$4 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $3,749 +$11 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 07 $3,745 +$4 +0%
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Granollers/Zeballos vs Bolelli/Vavassori Jun 07 $5 +$1 +17%
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 5? Jun 07 $8 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5? Jun 07 $20 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 07 $3,699 +$11 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? Jun 05 $20 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on April 6? May 11 $20 $0 +0%
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch? Apr 06 $20 $0 +0%
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? Feb 03 $3 $0 +1%
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? Feb 03 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 1? Feb 03 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on February 1? Feb 03 $6 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 1? Feb 03 $7 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1? Feb 03 $8 $0 +6%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 1? Feb 03 $9 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026? Feb 03 $14 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on February 1? Feb 03 $15 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be less than $80 on February 1? Feb 03 $15 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.20 January 26-1? Feb 03 $27 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026 Feb 03 $329 +$1 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026 Feb 03 $2,500 +$9 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on January 31? Feb 01 $3 $0 +1%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of January? Feb 01 $6 $0 +0%
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? Feb 01 $6 $0 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 31? Feb 01 $7 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on January 31? Feb 01 $10 $0 +0%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap Feb 01 $10 $0 +5%
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January? Feb 01 $12 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 31? Feb 01 $14 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 31? Feb 01 $31 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026 Jan 31 $260 +$84 +32%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of January? Jan 31 $5 $0 +0%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $555 end of January? Jan 31 $8 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 30? Jan 31 $64 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026 Jan 31 $2,698 +$55 +2%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-28? Jan 29 $14 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 28? Jan 29 $15 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on January 28 Jan 29 $18 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 29? Jan 29 $40 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 29? Jan 29 $80 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 29? Jan 29 $100 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026 Jan 29 $2,500 +$18 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 27 Jan 28 $7 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,600 on January 27? Jan 28 $7 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on January 27? Jan 28 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on January 27? Jan 28 $15 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026? Jan 28 $2,585 +$127 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 89% −$33
crypto 11% $0
world 0% $0
tech 0% $0
sports 0% +$1
politics 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 June 8-14? BUY No 100¢ $3,767 1h
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $3,763 3d
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $3,760 4d
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $534 5d
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $3,170 5d
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $45 5d
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $3,745 6d
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $426 8d
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1,795 8d
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $924 8d
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $555 8d
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Granollers/Zeballos vs Bolelli/Vavassori BUY Granollers/Zeballos 85¢ $5 8d
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on June 5? BUY Yes 100¢ $8 8d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $20 8d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $20 33d
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on April 6? BUY No 100¢ $20 67d
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch? BUY No 100¢ $20 85d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026 BUY No 100¢ $329 132d
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $14 132d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on February 1? BUY No 100¢ $6 132d
Will XRP dip to $1.20 January 26-1? BUY No 100¢ $27 132d
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 1? BUY Yes 100¢ $9 132d
Will the price of Solana be less than $80 on February 1? BUY No 100¢ $15 132d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on February 1? BUY No 100¢ $15 132d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 1? BUY No 99¢ $7 132d
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1? BUY No 94¢ $8 132d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 1? BUY No 100¢ $5 132d
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $5 132d
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $3 132d
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026 SELL Yes 86¢ $344 133d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +2.3% -7.5% 100% 12% -9.4%
≤30d 9 +2.0% -7.7% 100% 11% -9.4%
≤90d 11 +1.7% -8.0% 100% 9% -9.4%
all 66 -0.4% -9.9% 97% 3% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 3% -9.6%
10% -18.5% 2% -18.3%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,764.70 · official $3,764.70 (match) · 138 history records