trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 0% | 0% | -10.6% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 29% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 29% | 0% | -10.0% |
| all | 26 | +32.0% | +19.4% | 23% | 4% | -6.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +19.4% | 4% | -6.6% |
| 10% | +8.0% | 4% | -15.5% |
| 15% | -2.5% | 4% | -23.7% |
| 20% | -12.0% | 4% | -31.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | No | 79¢ | 79¢ | $46 | $46 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 23 | $28 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 27 | $41 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 26 | $24 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 26 | $89 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $45 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 25 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 24 | $43 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 24 | $3 | +$24 | +900% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 23 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the | Jun 23 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Salzburg win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 22 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ty Dillon win The Great American Getaway 400? | Jun 22 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair? | Jun 21 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Jun 21 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City | Jun 20 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 20 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday? | Jun 20 | $1 | $0 | -38% |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 19 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 15 | $27 | $0 | -1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | -30% |
| Will George Russell finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | May 27 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025? | May 26 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May? | May 25 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | May 24 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May? | May 24 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will federal spending decrease by $750b-1t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 | May 23 | $27 | $0 | +0% |