Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:21:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d8d…2126
crypto · 9 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses3 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)9 / 9
History coverage31d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$19
14 days−$19
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET May 14 $5 −$3 -52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-55.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -50.2% -55.0% 38% 38% -46.9%
≤30d 8 -50.2% -55.0% 38% 38% -46.9%
≤90d 9 -50.5% -55.2% 33% 33% -47.9%
all 9 -50.5% -55.2% 33% 33% -47.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -55.2% 33% -47.9%
10% -59.5% 22% -52.9%
15% -63.4% 22% -57.4%
20% -67.0% 0% -61.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 18 history records