trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +65.4% | +49.7% | 67% | 50% | -49.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +10.3% | -0.2% | 44% | 33% | -52.0% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +10.3% | -0.2% | 44% | 33% | -52.0% |
| all | 9 | +10.3% | -0.2% | 44% | 33% | -52.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.2% | 33% | -52.0% |
| 10% | -9.8% | 33% | -56.6% |
| 15% | -18.5% | 22% | -60.8% |
| 20% | -26.5% | 11% | -64.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $1,687 | $1,387 | −$300 (-18%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $626 | $601 | −$25 (-4%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $290 | $292 | +$2 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $36 | −$35 | -98% |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq? | Jun 23 | $2 | +$8 | +510% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $9 | +$1 | +8% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 23 | $8 | +$2 | +26% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Iraq? | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Austria? | Jun 22 | $1 | +$1 | +49% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria? | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Austria? | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria? | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |