Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:56:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d75…bd1f
crypto · 324 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
−$221 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$844 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$844
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses245 / 79
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)324 / 324
History coverage154d
Avg bet$77
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 0 History 324 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$202
7 days−$180
14 days−$180
30 days−$180
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 73¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +56%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$6 +21%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$9 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +22%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +23%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$2 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +44%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +79%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$6 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +23%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +25%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +52%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $151 −$151 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $161 +$11 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $101 −$99 -98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$12 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $203 −$200 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $303 +$42 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $204 −$204 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 77% +$374
other 17% −$481
sports 6% −$757
world 0% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $18 39m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $25 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 49m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 49m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $30 50m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 53m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $20 54m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $30 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $30 57m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 58m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 59m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $20 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $11 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $10 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $15 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 255 +3.8% -6.1% 79% 59% -10.0%
≤30d 255 +3.8% -6.1% 79% 59% -10.0%
≤90d 276 +1.1% -8.5% 77% 57% -10.6%
all 324 +0.7% -8.9% 76% 57% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.9% 57% -12.4%
10% -17.6% 39% -20.8%
15% -25.6% 23% -28.4%
20% -32.9% 14% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 873 history records