Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:56:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d70…a86b
crypto · 27 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses15 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)27 / 27
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day28.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$4 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-25.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -17.7% -25.6% 56% 33% -22.4%
≤30d 27 -17.7% -25.6% 56% 33% -22.4%
≤90d 27 -17.7% -25.6% 56% 33% -22.4%
all 27 -17.7% -25.6% 56% 33% -22.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.6% 33% -22.4%
10% ← realistic here -32.7% 30% -29.8%
15% -39.2% 26% -36.6%
20% -45.2% 11% -42.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 60 history records