trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -44.6% | -49.9% | 30% | 30% | -55.5% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +15.5% | +4.5% | 50% | 50% | -5.3% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +15.5% | +4.5% | 50% | 50% | -5.3% |
| all | 28 | -16.0% | -24.0% | 32% | 32% | -18.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.0% | 32% | -18.4% |
| 10% | -31.3% | 29% | -26.2% |
| 15% | -37.9% | 29% | -33.4% |
| 20% | -44.0% | 25% | -39.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026? | No | 63¢ | 69¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+10%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 11¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+5%) |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 18¢ | 16¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-12%) |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 82¢ | 86¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 29¢ | 30¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 20¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-18%) |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 53¢ | 40¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-24%) |
| Will Weston McKennie score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 45¢ | 26¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-42%) |
| Mehdi Taremi: 1+ goals | Yes | 23¢ | 12¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-46%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Virgil van Dijk score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $2 | +$3 | +129% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Tijjani Reijnders: 1+ assists | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Igor Thiago: 1+ goals | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Raphinha: 1+ goals | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +82% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +44% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-04? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025? | Jun 04 | $1 | +$3 | +270% |
| Another Canada election called in 2025? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +17% |
| Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | Jun 04 | $1 | +$1 | +117% |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Jun 04 | $2 | +$5 | +257% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Dec 11 | $1 | −$1 | -91% |
| Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | Nov 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be betwe | Nov 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be betwe | Nov 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31? | Oct 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea"? | Oct 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "TikTok" this week? (October 27 - November 2) | Oct 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "President Xi" during Japan troop visit on October 28? | Oct 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28? | Oct 28 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26? | Oct 28 | $1 | +$1 | +100% |
| Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19? | Oct 28 | $2 | +$9 | +426% |
| Will Wales win on 2025-10-13? | Oct 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship? | Oct 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31? | Oct 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |