Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:23:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d5f…439a
crypto · 236 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$17 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses123 / 113
Open positions0
Markets (closed)236 / 236
History coverage61d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day4.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 236 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$6
14 days+$3
30 days+$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 05 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 03 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 01 $4 +$1 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 01 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET May 31 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 30 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET May 30 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET May 30 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET May 30 $4 +$1 +42%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET May 27 $3 +$2 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET May 26 $4 +$2 +46%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET May 26 $4 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET May 25 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET May 25 $4 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET May 24 $2 +$3 +123%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET May 24 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET May 24 $3 +$2 +55%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET May 24 $3 +$2 +52%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET May 23 $4 +$2 +48%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 22 $3 +$3 +93%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET May 22 $3 +$2 +60%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET May 22 $4 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 19 $4 +$2 +44%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET May 19 $4 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 18 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 05 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET May 05 $3 +$4 +146%
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET May 05 $5 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET May 05 $2 +$3 +140%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET May 05 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET May 05 $1 +$5 +395%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET May 05 $2 +$4 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET May 04 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 04 $2 +$4 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET May 04 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 04 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 04 $5 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 04 $5 +$1 +18%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 04 $4 +$1 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$17
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 11d
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 13d
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 16d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 17d
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 18d
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 19d
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 19d
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 19d
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 20d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -28.7% -35.5% 60% 60% -25.2%
≤30d 36 +13.6% +2.8% 81% 81% +4.6%
≤90d 236 -6.9% -15.8% 52% 49% -11.5%
all 236 -6.9% -15.8% 52% 49% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.8% 49% -11.5%
10% -23.8% 39% -20.0%
15% -31.2% 31% -27.7%
20% -37.9% 22% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 471 history records