Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:53:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d5e…9a5e
politics · 718 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$9,935 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9,726 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10,364
Realized+$9,726
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses665 / 22
Whale WR (big bets)90%
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions46
Markets (closed)687 / 718
History coverage64d
Avg bet$337
Trades / day42.7
Drawdown37%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 46 History 687 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$661
7 days+$794
14 days+$980
30 days+$503
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will MrBeast say "Apple" during his next YouTube video? No 100¢ 99¢ $1,032 $1,029 −$3 (-0%)
Will anyone say "Planet" during Rick and Morty E4 S9? Yes 98¢ 98¢ $956 $954 −$2 (-0%)
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No 67¢ 84¢ $711 $901 +$190 (+27%)
Will MrBeast say "Hottest" during his next YouTube video? No 98¢ 85¢ $986 $859 −$127 (-13%)
Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video? No 100¢ 96¢ $811 $784 −$27 (-3%)
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $465 $481 +$16 (+3%)
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30? No 87¢ 99¢ $407 $463 +$56 (+14%)
Will MrBeast say "Subscriber" during his next YouTube video? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $429 $430 +$1 (+0%)
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? No 89¢ 99¢ $309 $343 +$34 (+11%)
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 5+ times during his next YouTube video? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $316 $321 +$5 (+2%)
Will MrBeast say "Karl" during his next YouTube video? No 100¢ 100¢ $250 $250 +$0 (+0%)
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video? Yes 99¢ 98¢ $227 $223 −$4 (-2%)
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026? No 83¢ 84¢ $216 $218 +$2 (+1%)
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? No 73¢ 79¢ $195 $212 +$17 (+9%)
McDonald's CEO out by June 30? No 89¢ 98¢ $184 $205 +$20 (+11%)
LA Mayoral Election: Recount of 1st Round? No 95¢ 96¢ $190 $191 +$1 (+1%)
Will MrBeast say "Red Line" during his next YouTube video? No 99¢ 92¢ $199 $185 −$14 (-7%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 71¢ 68¢ $183 $174 −$9 (-5%)
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? No 92¢ 99¢ $156 $169 +$12 (+8%)
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? No 97¢ 95¢ $160 $158 −$3 (-2%)
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? No 44¢ 99¢ $67 $151 +$84 (+125%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 15¢ 15¢ $133 $131 −$2 (-2%)
Will MrBeast say "Jet" during his next YouTube video? No 100¢ 99¢ $120 $119 −$1 (-1%)
LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%? Over 98¢ 99¢ $111 $112 +$1 (+0%)
Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video? No 99¢ 99¢ $112 $112 −$1 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the announcers say "Legend" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Jun 13 $235 +$71 +30%
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Jun 13 $161 +$6 +4%
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA Wor Jun 13 $99 +$3 +3%
Will the announcers say "What A Save" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA Jun 13 $103 +$3 +3%
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA Worl Jun 13 $292 +$5 +2%
Will the announcers say "Upset" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Jun 13 $34 +$9 +26%
Will the announcers say "Electric" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA Wor Jun 13 $73 +$2 +3%
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA Jun 13 $67 +$1 +2%
Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the USA vs Paraguay FI Jun 13 $210 +$8 +4%
Will the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" 20+ times during the U Jun 13 $99 +$6 +6%
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Jun 13 $165 +$9 +6%
Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? Jun 13 $176 +$4 +2%
Will "Bitcoin" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? Jun 13 $157 +$2 +1%
Will "National Security" be said during the next episode of the All-In Jun 13 $179 +$2 +1%
Will "Globalization" be said during the next episode of the All-In Pod Jun 13 $173 +$2 +1%
Will "Competent" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast Jun 13 $130 +$1 +1%
Will "Closed source" be said during the next episode of the All-In Pod Jun 13 $124 +$1 +1%
Will "Plastic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? Jun 13 $156 +$2 +1%
Will "Alignment" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast Jun 13 $179 +$2 +1%
Will "Macroeconomy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podc Jun 13 $156 +$2 +1%
Will "European Union" be said during the next episode of the All-In Po Jun 13 $179 +$2 +1%
Will "Disruptive" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcas Jun 13 $161 +$3 +2%
Will "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podc Jun 13 $179 +$2 +1%
Will "Innovation" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcas Jun 13 $161 +$2 +2%
Will "Middle East" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podca Jun 13 $173 +$2 +1%
Will "Civilization" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podc Jun 13 $74 +$1 +2%
Will "Data Center" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All Jun 13 $274 +$4 +1%
Will "AI" be said 50+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podc Jun 13 $246 +$24 +10%
Will "Biology" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? Jun 13 $172 +$2 +1%
Will "Insurance" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast Jun 13 $357 +$4 +1%
Will "Comparison" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcas Jun 13 $228 +$3 +1%
Will "Cancer" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? Jun 13 $172 +$2 +1%
Will "Anthropic" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the All- Jun 13 $237 +$4 +2%
Will Future perform "TEFLON DON" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $35 $0 +1%
Will Future perform "Wicked" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $71 +$1 +1%
Will Future perform "TOO FAST" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $102 +$1 +1%
Will Future perform "Stick Talk" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $208 +$2 +1%
Will Future perform "712PM" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $103 +$1 +1%
Will Future perform "PUFFIN ON ZOOTIEZ" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $218 +$2 +1%
Will Future perform "LIL DEMON" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $587 +$6 +1%
Will Future perform "Real Sisters" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $96 +$1 +1%
Will Future perform "Thought It Was a Drought" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ce Jun 13 $185 +$2 +1%
Will Future perform "Fuck Up Some Commas" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremon Jun 13 $86 +$1 +1%
Will Future perform "Same Damn Time" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $73 +$1 +1%
Will Future perform "Sh!t" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $67 +$1 +1%
Will Future perform "Mask Off" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $18 $0 +1%
Will Future perform "March Madness" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Will the announcers say "Foul" 20+ times during the USA vs Paraguay FI Jun 13 $474 −$20 -4%
Will the announcers say "Hat Trick" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA Wo Jun 13 $220 +$5 +2%
Will the announcers say "Penalty" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA Worl Jun 13 $277 +$5 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 48% +$4,399
other 29% +$1,610
finance 6% +$1,829
tech 6% +$981
sports 5% +$498
world 4% +$352
economics 1% +$90
crypto 0% −$60
weather 0% +$9
culture 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will MrBeast say "Hottest" during his next YouTube video? BUY No 99¢ $99 8m
Will MrBeast say "Hottest" during his next YouTube video? BUY No 100¢ $522 8m
Will MrBeast say "Hottest" during his next YouTube video? BUY No 100¢ $250 8m
Will MrBeast say "Apple" during his next YouTube video? BUY No 100¢ $933 9m
Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next YouTube video? BUY No 100¢ $100 9m
Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video? BUY No 100¢ $80 10m
Will MrBeast say "Island" during his next YouTube video? BUY No 100¢ $110 10m
Will MrBeast say "Jet" during his next YouTube video? BUY No 100¢ $120 10m
Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video? BUY No 100¢ $787 10m
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video? BUY Yes 100¢ $60 12m
Will MrBeast say "Apple" during his next YouTube video? BUY No 99¢ $99 1h
Will MrBeast say "Karl" during his next YouTube video? BUY No 100¢ $250 1h
Will MrBeast say "Red Line" during his next YouTube video? BUY No 99¢ $99 1h
Will MrBeast say "Red Line" during his next YouTube video? BUY No 99¢ $100 1h
Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video? BUY No 99¢ $24 1h
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video? BUY Yes 99¢ $167 1h
Will MrBeast say "Hottest" during his next YouTube video? BUY No 60¢ $27 1h
Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video? BUY No 98¢ $32 1h
Will MrBeast say "Hottest" during his next YouTube video? BUY No 98¢ $88 1h
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during BUY Yes 96¢ $466 1h
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 5+ times during BUY Yes 98¢ $316 1h
Will MrBeast say "Subscriber" during his next YouTube video? BUY Yes 99¢ $429 1h
Will Spencer Pratt call for 1st round recount? BUY No 82¢ $41 4h
Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15? BUY No 51¢ $51 9h
Will the announcers say "Legend" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World BUY No 93¢ $13 10h
Will the announcers say "Legend" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World BUY No 92¢ $106 10h
Will "AI" be said 50+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podc BUY Yes 51¢ $22 11h
Will Spencer Pratt call for 1st round recount? BUY No 82¢ $12 11h
Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15? BUY No 58¢ $30 11h
Will "Closed source" be said during the next episode of the All-In Pod BUY No 99¢ $124 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-1.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 226 +2.6% -7.2% 97% 5% -8.1%
≤30d 397 +3.5% -6.4% 96% 6% -9.2%
≤90d 687 +8.8% -1.6% 97% 7% -5.8%
all 687 +8.8% -1.6% 97% 7% -5.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.6% 7% -5.8%
10% ← realistic here -11.0% 5% -14.8%
15% -19.6% 3% -23.0%
20% -27.5% 2% -30.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10,364.43 · official $10,364.44 (match) · 3500 history records