Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:38:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d5d…6be6
other · 341 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
−$2,934 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,278 · open +$349
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,321
Realized−$3,278
Unrealized+$349
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses221 / 108
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions12
Markets (closed)329 / 341
History coverage465d
Avg bet$906
Trades / day7.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit47%
Chart Positions 12 History 329 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$198
7 days+$198
14 days+$304
30 days+$225
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? No 90¢ 98¢ $988 $1,072 +$84 (+8%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June? No 76¢ 92¢ $537 $648 +$111 (+21%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 75¢ 80¢ $535 $564 +$29 (+6%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 84¢ 84¢ $506 $506 −$0 (-0%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No 83¢ 99¢ $334 $396 +$62 (+19%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $245 $244 −$1 (-0%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes 40¢ 50¢ $160 $196 +$36 (+22%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? No 83¢ 96¢ $157 $181 +$25 (+16%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 57¢ $176 $172 −$3 (-2%)
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? No 60¢ 60¢ $133 $134 +$1 (+1%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No 92¢ 98¢ $110 $117 +$7 (+6%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $91 $90 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $191 +$198 +104%
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Jun 06 $47 +$43 +92%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Jun 05 $685 −$31 -4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Jun 02 $455 −$19 -4%
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? Jun 01 $289 +$102 +35%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? Jun 01 $78 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May? Jun 01 $52 +$4 +7%
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma Jun 01 $178 +$7 +4%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 29 $2,002 −$180 -9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? May 28 $121 +$8 +6%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June? May 28 $100 +$5 +5%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? May 27 $1,756 +$228 +13%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? May 25 $1,403 +$355 +25%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? May 25 $492 +$24 +5%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? May 24 $66 +$22 +34%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? May 23 $1,637 +$69 +4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May? May 22 $122 +$78 +64%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May? May 20 $923 +$55 +6%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? May 19 $8 −$2 -26%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? May 16 $1,552 −$680 -44%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? May 15 $797 −$17 -2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? May 15 $376 +$46 +12%
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China? May 15 $135 −$91 -67%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 13 $223 +$69 +31%
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? May 13 $178 +$17 +10%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? May 12 $359 −$54 -15%
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? May 09 $245 +$9 +4%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 09 $106 +$5 +5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? May 09 $431 −$21 -5%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? May 08 $33 +$25 +76%
Iran closes its airspace by May 7? May 08 $128 +$2 +1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May? May 06 $1,333 +$461 +35%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? May 03 $54 $0 -0%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? May 01 $1,462 +$145 +10%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? May 01 $918 +$101 +11%
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? Apr 24 $220 +$91 +41%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? Apr 24 $324 +$76 +24%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Apr 24 $574 +$172 +30%
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? Apr 22 $22 +$31 +142%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? Apr 21 $305 −$5 -2%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? Apr 17 $710 −$191 -27%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April? Apr 14 $1,092 +$86 +8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? Apr 14 $1,145 +$34 +3%
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? Apr 14 $107 −$55 -51%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? Apr 08 $1,753 +$294 +17%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Apr 08 $33 +$30 +91%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? Apr 08 $228 +$364 +160%
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? Apr 08 $556 +$50 +9%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Apr 08 $365 +$131 +36%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? Apr 02 $258 +$8 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 57% −$2,862
crypto 23% +$343
world 9% +$905
finance 4% +$1,386
politics 3% −$2,614
economics 3% −$112
tech 0% +$26
sports 0% +$10
weather 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $165 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $117 2h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 79¢ $561 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 97¢ $389 6h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 91¢ $91 8h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 84¢ $165 8h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 84¢ $2 8h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 85¢ $164 17h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 85¢ $6 17h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 85¢ $170 20h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $61 27h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $81 27h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $94 28h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $15 28h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $34 28h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $49 28h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? BUY No 90¢ $179 6d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? BUY No 90¢ $90 6d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June? BUY No 69¢ $62 6d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June? BUY No 69¢ $7 6d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? BUY No 83¢ $140 7d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? BUY No 83¢ $17 7d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? BUY No 90¢ $90 7d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June? BUY No 72¢ $72 7d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? BUY No 89¢ $89 7d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? BUY No 90¢ $96 7d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? BUY No 90¢ $72 7d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? BUY No 91¢ $91 7d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June? BUY No 72¢ $4 7d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June? BUY No 73¢ $223 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-3.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +103.5% +84.2% 100% 100% +84.2%
≤30d 23 +11.3% +0.7% 70% 35% -8.0%
≤90d 67 +3.7% -6.2% 69% 31% -3.7%
all 329 +6.6% -3.6% 67% 29% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.6% 29% -10.5%
10% -12.8% 18% -19.1%
15% -21.2% 12% -26.9%
20% -28.9% 9% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,321.40 · official $4,321.44 (match) · 3500 history records