Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T22:58:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5D 0x5d52…4ca5 crypto 66 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (84 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$409 (+7%) realized +$409 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate58%38W / 28L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$91per market
Trades / day83.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$237
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (84 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 -12.3% -20.6% 58% 56% -13.2%
≤30d 66 -12.3% -20.6% 58% 56% -13.2%
≤90d 66 -12.3% -20.6% 58% 56% -13.2%
all 66 -12.3% -20.6% 58% 56% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover83.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.6% 56% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -28.2% 48% -21.5%
15% -35.1% 39% -29.1%
20% -41.5% 27% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -17% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$41 vs −$64 · ×0.64 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$409
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses38 / 28
Open positions0
Markets (closed)66 / 66
History coverage1d
Avg bet$91
Trades / day83.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 66 Trades
no open positions (19 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 20 $459 −$459 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 20 $297 +$163 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 20 $206 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 20 $156 −$58 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 20 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 20 $102 +$47 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 20 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 20 $31 +$26 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 20 $20 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 20 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$13 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 20 $179 +$32 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 20 $103 +$63 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 20 $685 +$134 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 20 $257 −$250 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 20 $118 −$10 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 20 $103 +$72 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 20 $52 +$67 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 20 $103 −$78 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 20 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 20 $51 +$21 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 20 $179 +$59 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 20 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 20 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 20 $154 +$100 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 20 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 20 $205 +$118 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 20 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 20 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 20 $403 +$61 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 20 $26 +$19 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 20 $41 +$16 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 20 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 20 $26 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 20 $52 +$13 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $189 +$90 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 20 $252 +$29 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 20 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 20 $46 +$35 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 20 $26 +$16 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 20 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 20 $306 −$306 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 20 $26 +$17 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 20 $102 +$51 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 20 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 20 $205 +$102 +50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $459 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $92 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $205 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $206 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $102 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $57 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $16 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $153 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $103 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $71 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $304 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $378 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $311 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $102 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $103 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $52 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $65 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $103 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 165 history records