Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:06:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d4f…5922
crypto · 183 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$462 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$433 · open −$30
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$433
Unrealized−$30
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses138 / 43
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions2
Markets (closed)181 / 183
History coverage120d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 2 History 181 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days−$24
14 days−$49
30 days−$386
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 28¢ 31¢ $17 $18 +$2 (+10%)
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 37¢ 3¢ $34 $3 −$31 (-91%)
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Netherlands 59¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) Spurs 48¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5 Under 56¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026? No 9¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5) AC Milan 49¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Spurs 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-05-27? No 54¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Spurs 38¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$7 +227%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$8 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$3 +32%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $28 +$22 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -97%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 08 $39 −$39 -98%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 08 $19 −$18 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $17 +$17 +100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Jun 05 $10 −$10 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 05 $11 −$11 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 Jun 04 $10 +$8 +82%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $9 +$15 +164%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET May 30 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET May 30 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET May 29 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET May 29 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET May 29 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET May 29 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 29 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET May 29 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET May 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET May 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 29 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 29 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 29 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 29 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 29 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 29 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 29 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 29 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 29 $10 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 64% −$164
sports 15% −$206
other 14% −$89
world 4% +$47
politics 2% −$6
economics 1% −$45
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -2.7% -11.9% 54% 42% -19.5%
≤30d 166 -3.1% -12.3% 78% 25% -17.0%
≤90d 180 -3.5% -12.7% 77% 25% -15.8%
all 181 -4.0% -13.2% 76% 25% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.2% 25% -16.2%
10% -21.5% 13% -24.2%
15% -29.1% 10% -31.5%
20% -36.0% 8% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.36 · official $21.36 (match) · 407 history records