Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:07:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5D 0x5d4f…60bc crypto 49 markets active 5d ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (56 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$147 (-15%) realized −$147 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -17% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -36% what you keep after slip
Net edge-36%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate51%25W / 24L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day56.0pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% −$145
other 5% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (56 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-25.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -17.1% -25.0% 51% 45% -24.7%
≤30d 49 -17.1% -25.0% 51% 45% -24.7%
≤90d 49 -17.1% -25.0% 51% 45% -24.7%
all 49 -17.1% -25.0% 51% 45% -24.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover56.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.0% 45% -24.7%
10% ← realistic here -32.2% 29% -31.9%
15% -38.7% 22% -38.5%
20% -44.7% 10% -44.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -17% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -17% · $-wt -17% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -30% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$10 · ×0.39 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.41 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$147
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses25 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)49 / 49
History coverage2d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day56.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 49 Trades
no open positions (14 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $51 −$25 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $82 −$16 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $36 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $36 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $36 +$16 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$11 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $36 +$7 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$8 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $51 −$26 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $51 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $77 −$21 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $30 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $41 −$8 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$11 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +44%
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Jun 11 $51 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $16 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $25 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $24 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $33 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $6 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 145 history records