Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:43:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d4a…55d3
crypto · 540 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$122 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$119 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$164
Realized+$119
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses225 / 306
Open positions10
Markets (closed)531 / 540
History coverage1d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day2962.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 10 History 531 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$119
7 days+$119
14 days+$119
30 days+$119
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $34 $42 +$8 (+23%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $30 $32 +$2 (+5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 63¢ 80¢ $14 $18 +$4 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 56¢ 40¢ $22 $15 −$6 (-30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 52¢ 72¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 60¢ 60¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 45¢ 38¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-16%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 73¢ 56¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-24%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 64¢ 44¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-30%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 52¢ 18¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 85¢ 28¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-66%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-98%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1264%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$5 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$6 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$1 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$3 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$1 -5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$2 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$1 -9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$4 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$35 +396%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $43 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $82 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$5 -27%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$2 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$64 +182%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$3 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$2 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$13 -19%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$6 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$4 -15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$2 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$5 -54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$12 +254%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$11 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -21%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$5 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$1 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$5 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$126
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $11 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $11 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 531 -2.1% -11.4% 42% 25% -8.7%
≤30d 531 -2.1% -11.4% 42% 25% -8.7%
≤90d 531 -2.1% -11.4% 42% 25% -8.7%
all 531 -2.1% -11.4% 42% 25% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2962.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 25% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 15% -17.5%
15% -27.7% 10% -25.4%
20% -34.7% 9% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $164.38 · official $174.37 · 3500 history records