Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:06:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5D 0x5d43…5dea crypto 49 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (52 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$43 (-2%) realized −$43 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate61%30W / 19L
Drawdown83%max
Avg bet$57per market
Trades / day51.7pace
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% +$80
other 3% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (52 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -5.2% -14.2% 61% 43% -6.6%
≤30d 49 -5.2% -14.2% 61% 43% -6.6%
≤90d 49 -5.2% -14.2% 61% 43% -6.6%
all 49 -5.2% -14.2% 61% 43% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover51.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 43% -6.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 39% -15.5%
15% -29.9% 31% -23.7%
20% -36.8% 24% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
30% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt +3% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$13 · ×0.86 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.35 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses30 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)49 / 49
History coverage2d
Avg bet$57
Trades / day51.7
Drawdown83%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 49 Trades
no open positions (15 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $201 +$19 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$2 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $273 +$27 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $78 −$12 -16%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $13 −$12 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $19 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $44 +$44 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$7 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $176 +$24 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $187 +$13 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $9 +$13 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $14 +$8 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $16 +$4 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $21 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$6 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$9 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $22 +$18 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$20 +104%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $17 −$16 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $13 +$7 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $34 −$14 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $13 −$12 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $12 +$10 +90%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $57 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $12 −$12 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $422 −$2 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$6 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$10 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $65 +$35 +54%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $16 −$16 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $28 +$12 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $13 −$12 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 16 $13 +$7 +52%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $14 +$6 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $41 −$39 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $48 +$12 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $27 +$6 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9PM ET Jun 16 $25 −$25 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8PM ET Jun 16 $11 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$10 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $40 −$18 -45%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $22 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $86 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $17 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $13 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $97 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $96 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $79 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $16 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $17 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $13 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $12 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $13 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $95 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $76 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $92 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $94 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $14 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 120 history records