Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:58:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d38…872f
crypto · 903 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$394 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$394 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$394
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses407 / 488
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)895 / 903
History coverage76d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day16.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 895 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$49
7 days−$92
14 days−$190
30 days−$280
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$6 +270%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$8 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +144%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$5 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 09 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 09 $9 −$5 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$322
other 5% −$63
sports 1% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 211 -7.9% -16.7% 44% 41% -12.1%
≤30d 657 -8.1% -16.8% 46% 43% -14.4%
≤90d 895 -9.5% -18.1% 45% 44% -15.5%
all 895 -9.5% -18.1% 45% 44% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.1% 44% -15.5%
10% -26.0% 42% -23.6%
15% -33.1% 40% -31.0%
20% -39.7% 37% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $4.76 · 2276 history records