Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:14:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d24…0adc
crypto · 5 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$10 -37%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)4 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York Mets 54¢ 76¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+40%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% +$2
crypto 43% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 54¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Aurora Gaming 82¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 80¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-60.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -56.5% -60.7% 25% 0% -54.2%
≤30d 4 -56.5% -60.7% 25% 0% -54.2%
≤90d 4 -56.5% -60.7% 25% 0% -54.2%
all 4 -56.5% -60.7% 25% 0% -54.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -60.7% 0% -54.2%
10% -64.4% 0% -58.6%
15% -67.9% 0% -62.6%
20% -71.0% 0% -66.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.99 · official $6.99 (match) · 9 history records