Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d21…5848
other · 6 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$24 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$3
Realized−$23
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)5 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$97
Trades / day269.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 1 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days−$23
14 days−$23
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? Yes $4 $3 −$1 (-25%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Tom Kim win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 12 $4 −$2 -43%
Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 12 $4 $0 -6%
Will Neal Shipley win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 12 $95 −$6 -6%
Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 12 $270 −$16 -6%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Atlanta Falcons next? Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes $4 0m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes $4 0m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes $4 0m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes $2 1m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes $2 1m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes $4 5m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes $4 5m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes $4 6m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes $4 6m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes $4 7m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes $4 7m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes $4 7m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes $4 8m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes $4 8m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes $4 8m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes $4 9m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes $4 9m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes $4 10m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes $4 10m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes $2 10m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes $2 11m
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? SELL Yes $2 1h
Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? BUY Yes $2 1h
Will Tom Kim win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes $2 1h
Will Tom Kim win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes $4 1h
Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes $4 1h
Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes $4 1h
Will Neal Shipley win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes $4 1h
Will Neal Shipley win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes $4 1h
Will Neal Shipley win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-21.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -13.3% -21.5% 0% 0% -15.1%
≤30d 5 -13.3% -21.5% 0% 0% -15.1%
≤90d 5 -13.3% -21.5% 0% 0% -15.1%
all 5 -13.3% -21.5% 0% 0% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover269.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.5% 0% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -29.0% 0% -23.3%
15% -35.9% 0% -30.7%
20% -42.2% 0% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.03 · official $3.03 (match) · 269 history records