Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:57:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d16…0abb
crypto · 2020 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$415 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$683 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$683
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses1230 / 790
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2020 / 2020
History coverage33d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day67.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 2020 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$845
7 days−$698
14 days−$643
30 days−$660
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No 92¢ 93¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Delray Beach Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Hijikata 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stage kONO.ECF 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Morehead State Eagles Tennessee State Tigers 36¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals Oh My God 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffs LOS 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs PCIFIC (BO3) - IstabuLAN Playoffs PCIFIC 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner NIP 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stage R2 Esports Club 63¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Delray Beach Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Grou Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Morehead State Eagles Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffs Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs PCIFIC (BO3) - IstabuLAN Playoffs Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South Amer Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-Flame Sharks vs ASTRAL (BO3) - ESL Challenger Leagu Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Suns (-8.5) Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO5) - LIT Playoffs Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 8PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Valorant: ULF Esports vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: EKO Esports vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO5) - LIT Playoffs Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - CCT South America Seri Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 33 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifi Jun 14 $4 −$2 -65%
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: MIR vs VR2 (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffs Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Randers FC vs. Vejle BK end in a draw? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
T20 World Cup: Netherlands vs USA (Game 1) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IstabuLAN Playoffs Jun 14 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Denmark Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dallas Open: Adam Walton vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
New Delhi: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Digvijaypratap Singh Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage Jun 14 $4 −$3 -68%
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-02-16? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Argentina Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Laslo Djere Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutc Jun 14 $1 +$1 +88%
USC Trojans vs. Ohio State Buckeyes Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs Washington (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Grou Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs WW Team (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playof Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Delray Beach Open: Sebastian Korda vs Mackenzie McDonald Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-02-13? Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Ugo Humbert Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Map Handicap: BIG.A (-1.5) vs FOKUS REALITY (+1.5) Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs G2 NORD (BO1) - Prime League 1st Divis Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$189
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 634 -19.6% -27.3% 53% 45% -43.0%
≤30d 1974 -5.0% -14.1% 61% 44% -22.2%
≤90d 2020 -5.4% -14.4% 61% 44% -22.3%
all 2020 -5.4% -14.4% 61% 44% -22.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover67.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 44% -22.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 36% -29.7%
15% -30.1% 30% -36.5%
20% -36.9% 24% -42.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.29 · official $9.29 (match) · 3500 history records