Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:49:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5D
0x5d14…b900
crypto · 864 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,639 -48%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,638 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$5,638
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses394 / 961
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1355 / 864
History coverage22d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day38.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1355 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,595
7 days−$5,605
14 days−$5,609
30 days−$5,638
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Up 60¢ 80¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Down 62¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+60%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Down 50¢ 20¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-59%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$11 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$11 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$29 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$11 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$28 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$12 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$14 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$7 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$11 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$29 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$11 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$9 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$12 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$30 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$6 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$11 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$29 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$8 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$29 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$11 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$12 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$11 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$12 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$11 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$11 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$5 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -171%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$8 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$9 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$9 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$11 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$6 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$9 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$29 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$7 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$13 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$30 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$29 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$11 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$11 -200%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-42.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 827 -59.7% -63.5% 18% 2% -56.0%
≤30d 1355 -36.8% -42.8% 29% 1% -27.6%
≤90d 1355 -36.8% -42.8% 29% 1% -27.6%
all 1355 -36.8% -42.8% 29% 1% -27.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -42.8% 1% -27.6%
10% ← realistic here -48.3% 0% -34.5%
15% -53.3% 0% -40.8%
20% -57.9% 0% -46.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.99 · official $9.99 (match) · 3500 history records