Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5cf5…7f12
economics · 10 markets active 3d ago
0.0score
−$2,639 -47%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,141 · open −$1,498
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP economics specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,790
Realized−$1,141
Unrealized−$1,498
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Open positions7
Markets (closed)3 / 10
History coverage121d
Avg bet$563
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1,397 $699 −$699 (-50%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $499 $552 +$53 (+11%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $552 $490 −$62 (-11%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $400 $350 −$50 (-12%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $300 $300 +$0 (+0%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $640 $250 −$390 (-61%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $500 $150 −$350 (-70%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $983 $0 −$983 (-100%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 06 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m Feb 11 $983 −$983 -100%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 me Feb 09 $150 −$150 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 100% −$2,630
crypto 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $417 2d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee BUY Yes 6¢ $578 2d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $31 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $0 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $0 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $0 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $0 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $0 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $1 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $1 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $1 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $1 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $1 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $1 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $1 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $1 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $2 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $1 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $3 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $3 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $3 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $3 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $3 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $1 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $3 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $3 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $3 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $3 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $3 4d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY Yes 1¢ $3 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,790.19 · official $2,790.19 (match) · 357 history records