Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:58:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5cef…2c1d
weather · 187 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,084 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,091 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,595
Realized+$1,091
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses165 / 0
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions22
Markets (closed)165 / 187
History coverage10d
Avg bet$131
Trades / day342.2
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 22 History 165 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$52
14 days+$1,091
30 days+$1,091
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $360 $360 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $203 $203 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 88°F or higher on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $182 $181 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 80°F or higher on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $168 $168 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $166 $166 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $125 $126 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 12? No 100¢ 93¢ $100 $93 −$7 (-7%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 80°F or higher on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $80 $80 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on June 13? No 99¢ 96¢ $50 $48 −$2 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $40 $40 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $37 $37 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 104°F or higher on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $28 $28 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on June 13? No 100¢ 99¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 79°F or below on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 73°F or below on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 67°F or below on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 67°F or below on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 104°F or higher on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju Jun 12 $284 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on June 13? Jun 12 $297 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on June 13 Jun 12 $16 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on Ju Jun 12 $108 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 100°F or higher on Ju Jun 12 $76 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 12? Jun 12 $125 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 81°F or below on June Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 13? Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on June 1 Jun 12 $119 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on June 12? Jun 12 $8 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 100°F or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $77 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 88°F or higher on June Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 12 $281 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 12 $962 +$4 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on June Jun 12 $32 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on June Jun 12 $242 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on June 11? Jun 12 $60 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 12? Jun 12 $28 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on June Jun 12 $32 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 69°F or below on June 1 Jun 12 $169 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on Ju Jun 12 $0 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 12? Jun 12 $102 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 12? Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on Ju Jun 12 $28 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 11? Jun 11 $254 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on June 11 Jun 11 $8 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 98°F or higher on June 11? Jun 11 $8 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 11? Jun 11 $88 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 11? Jun 11 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 11? Jun 11 $365 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 94°F or higher on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on Jun 11 $8 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 88°F or higher on June 11? Jun 11 $28 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on Ju Jun 11 $220 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju Jun 11 $55 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 10? Jun 11 $471 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 10 Jun 11 $118 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 10? Jun 11 $480 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 10? Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju Jun 11 $446 +$2 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 11? Jun 10 $8 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 9? Jun 10 $287 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 83°F or below on June 9? Jun 10 $584 +$2 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 10? Jun 10 $38 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 74°F or higher on June 10? Jun 10 $40 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju Jun 10 $20 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on Jun Jun 10 $565 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 9? Jun 10 $176 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 9? Jun 10 $40 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$1,083
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $20 1m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 88°F or higher on Jun BUY No 100¢ $20 2m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $20 5m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 88°F or higher on Jun BUY No 100¢ $20 5m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $20 8m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 88°F or higher on Jun BUY No 100¢ $20 9m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $20 12m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 88°F or higher on Jun BUY No 100¢ $20 12m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $15 19m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $2 33m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $8 33m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $7 33m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $7 36m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $6 44m
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $7 44m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 67°F or below on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $20 46m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 67°F or below on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $20 46m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 67°F or below on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $20 46m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 67°F or below on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $17 46m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $20 46m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $20 46m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $20 46m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $20 46m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $20 46m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $20 46m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $20 46m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $20 46m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $20 46m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $20 46m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $20 46m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-4.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 141 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 165 +5.9% -4.2% 100% 1% -5.0%
≤90d 165 +5.9% -4.2% 100% 1% -5.0%
all 165 +5.9% -4.2% 100% 1% -5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover342.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.2% 1% -5.0%
10% ← realistic here -13.3% 1% -14.1%
15% -21.7% 1% -22.4%
20% -29.4% 1% -30.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,594.79 · official $1,593.14 (match) · 3500 history records