Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:00:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5ce3…4a62
crypto · 535 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$439 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$12
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses320 / 214
Open positions1
Markets (closed)534 / 535
History coverage8d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day362.8
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 534 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days+$52
14 days+$12
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $18 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$4 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$205
politics 0% +$215
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 485 -2.4% -11.7% 59% 43% -8.8%
≤30d 534 -3.4% -12.6% 60% 43% -9.4%
≤90d 534 -3.4% -12.6% 60% 43% -9.4%
all 534 -3.4% -12.6% 60% 43% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover362.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 43% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 37% -18.0%
15% -28.6% 29% -26.0%
20% -35.6% 15% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.02 · official $0.02 (match) · 3500 history records