Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:33:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5ce2…3738
crypto · 141 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$205 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$205 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$205
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses63 / 78
Open positions0
Markets (closed)141 / 141
Avg bet$8
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 141 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $16 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Apr 29 $22 −$22 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Apr 29 $12 +$9 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Apr 29 $23 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Apr 29 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Apr 29 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Apr 29 $41 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Apr 29 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Apr 29 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Apr 29 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Apr 29 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Apr 29 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Apr 29 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Apr 29 $13 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Apr 29 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Apr 29 $10 +$11 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Apr 29 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Apr 24 $40 −$5 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Apr 22 $1 −$1 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Apr 22 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Apr 22 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Apr 22 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Apr 22 $12 −$12 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Apr 22 $30 −$12 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Apr 22 $20 −$9 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Apr 22 $0 $0 -93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$205
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $24 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $21 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-39.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -7.9% -16.7% 76% 24% -13.6%
≤30d 25 -7.9% -16.7% 76% 24% -13.6%
≤90d 141 -32.6% -39.0% 45% 22% -26.8%
all 141 -32.6% -39.0% 45% 22% -26.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -39.0% 22% -26.8%
10% -44.8% 12% -33.8%
15% -50.2% 9% -40.2%
20% -55.0% 6% -46.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 531 history records