Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:59:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5C 0x5cdb…3af7 crypto 210 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 2d only
✗ bot/MM pace (1117 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$584 (-4%) realized −$578 · open −$6
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -63% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -71% what you keep after slip
Net edge-71%after slip
Net WR17%break-even
Win rate18%118W / 522L
Whale WR22%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$64per market
Trades / day1117.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$115
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1117 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-66.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 640 -62.9% -66.4% 18% 17% -22.3%
≤30d 640 -62.9% -66.4% 18% 17% -22.3%
≤90d 640 -62.9% -66.4% 18% 17% -22.3%
all 640 -62.9% -66.4% 18% 17% -22.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1117.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -66.4% 17% -22.3%
10% ← realistic here -69.6% 17% -29.7%
15% -72.6% 17% -36.5%
20% -75.3% 17% -42.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 25% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -63% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 22% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -26% → late -100% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
14.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$5 · ×1.24 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.28 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$578
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses118 / 522
Whale WR (big bets)22%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)640 / 210
History coverage3d ⚠
Avg bet$64
Trades / day1117.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 640 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 57¢ 2¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-96%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 499 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $7 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $7 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $7 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $0 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $0 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $7 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $7 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.28 · official $4.57 · 3500 history records