Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:46:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5C 0x5cc4…95e5 crypto 601 markets active 0h ago coverage 29d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$45 (-4%) realized −$45 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate88%526W / 75L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day37.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$12
14 days−$23
30 days−$56
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 106 -3.4% -12.6% 83% 13% -16.5%
≤30d 601 -3.4% -12.6% 88% 10% -14.0%
≤90d 601 -3.4% -12.6% 88% 10% -14.0%
all 601 -3.4% -12.6% 88% 10% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover37.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 10% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 4% -22.2%
15% -28.6% 3% -29.7%
20% -35.6% 2% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
87% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.51 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$45
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses526 / 75
Open positions0
Markets (closed)601 / 601
History coverage29d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day37.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 601 Trades
no open positions (12 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$6 +586%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1607 history records