Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:06:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5cb1…6c8f
sports · 207 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,145 -76%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$642 · open −$253
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$764
Realized−$642
Unrealized−$253
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses106 / 84
Est. fees paid−$40
Open positions17
Markets (closed)190 / 207
History coverage7d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day467.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 17 History 190 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days−$540
14 days−$642
30 days−$642
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 54¢ 100¢ $96 $178 +$82 (+85%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 61¢ 100¢ $100 $164 +$64 (+64%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Gen.G 64¢ 100¢ $100 $156 +$56 (+56%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja Kraus Sinja Kraus 46¢ 50¢ $100 $108 +$8 (+8%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Under 57¢ 56¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 67¢ 100¢ $20 $30 +$10 (+49%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+1%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Anna Bondar 57¢ 42¢ $25 $18 −$7 (-27%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Kimberly Birrell 76¢ 44¢ $25 $15 −$11 (-42%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 44¢ 54¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+22%)
Kudermetova vs. Kraus: Match O/U 22.5 Under 50¢ 50¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Kudermetova vs. Kraus: Match O/U 21.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Kudermetova vs. Kraus: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Kudermetova vs. Kraus: Match O/U 23.5 Under 50¢ 50¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Set 1 Winner: Kudermetova vs Kraus Kraus 50¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Kudermetova vs. Kraus: Match O/U 21.5 Under 50¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Kudermetova vs. Kraus: Match O/U 22.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 75¢ 69¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Top Esports 43¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Top Esports 45¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 62¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Top Esports 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bartunkova vs. Gauff: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 14 $3 $0 -2%
Bartunkova vs. Gauff: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $101 −$101 -100%
Montgomery vs. Krejcikova: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 14 $6 $0 -2%
Set 1 Winner: Montgomery vs Krejcikova Jun 14 $49 −$1 -2%
Montgomery vs. Krejcikova: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 14 $4 $0 -2%
Robin Montgomery vs. Barbora Krejcikova: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $2 $0 -2%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova Jun 14 $102 +$65 +63%
Bartunkova vs. Gauff: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 14 $7 $0 -2%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $101 −$101 -100%
Nottingham Open: Janice Tjen vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 14 $7 $0 -2%
Nottingham Open: Tatjana Maria vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 14 $7 $0 -2%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 14 $50 +$3 +6%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $50 +$10 +20%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $50 +$40 +79%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $51 +$13 +25%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $9 +$11 +119%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $4 +$1 +36%
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -84%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 14 $51 −$50 -98%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 14 $16 +$1 +8%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 14 $2 +$2 +114%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 14 $2 +$3 +172%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 17.5 Jun 14 $6 +$3 +57%
Spread: Athletics (-3.5) Jun 14 $16 +$12 +74%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5 Jun 14 $2 +$3 +128%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $53 $0 +1%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 14 $9 +$2 +18%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5) Jun 14 $1 +$3 +276%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $27 −$10 -36%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 14 $58 −$43 -75%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $1 +$2 +109%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $2 +$1 +38%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-1.5) Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 14 $90 −$33 -36%
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) Jun 14 $31 +$43 +140%
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Jun 14 $4 +$1 +19%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Jun 14 $19 −$7 -35%
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 14 $59 +$37 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 50% −$663
sports 46% −$203
other 4% −$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Kudermetova vs. Kraus: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 50¢ $1 3m
Kudermetova vs. Kraus: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 50¢ $1 3m
Kudermetova vs. Kraus: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Under 50¢ $1 4m
Kudermetova vs. Kraus: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 50¢ $1 4m
Kudermetova vs. Kraus: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 50¢ $1 4m
Kudermetova vs. Kraus: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 50¢ $1 4m
Kudermetova vs. Kraus: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 50¢ $1 4m
Kudermetova vs. Kraus: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Over 50¢ $1 4m
Kudermetova vs. Kraus: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 50¢ $1 4m
Kudermetova vs. Kraus: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 50¢ $1 10m
Bartunkova vs. Gauff: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Under 50¢ $1 25m
Bartunkova vs. Gauff: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Under 50¢ $1 25m
Kudermetova vs. Kraus: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Under 50¢ $1 30m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Sinja Kraus 45¢ $1 30m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Sinja Kraus 46¢ $100 30m
Set 1 Winner: Kudermetova vs Kraus BUY Kraus 50¢ $1 30m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 67¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 67¢ $7 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 67¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 67¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 67¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 67¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 67¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 67¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 67¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 67¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 67¢ $1 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Bondar 57¢ $25 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 76¢ $25 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 62¢ $100 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 188 +2.8% -7.0% 56% 42% -18.1%
≤30d 190 +2.4% -7.4% 56% 42% -19.3%
≤90d 190 +2.4% -7.4% 56% 42% -19.3%
all 190 +2.4% -7.4% 56% 42% -19.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover467.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.4% 42% -19.3%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 35% -27.0%
15% -24.3% 28% -34.1%
20% -31.8% 21% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $763.96 · official $763.97 (match) · 3500 history records