Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:49:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5cad…e9bd
crypto · 43 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$17 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized+$12
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses20 / 19
Open positions4
Markets (closed)39 / 43
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day91.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 39 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$12
14 days+$12
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 66¢ 84¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 47¢ 74¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+57%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 78¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$3 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 48m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)+19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +32.4% +19.8% 51% 51% -3.9%
≤30d 39 +32.4% +19.8% 51% 51% -3.9%
≤90d 39 +32.4% +19.8% 51% 51% -3.9%
all 39 +32.4% +19.8% 51% 51% -3.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover91.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +19.8% 51% -3.9%
10% ← realistic here +8.3% 49% -13.1%
15% -2.2% 46% -21.5%
20% -11.7% 46% -29.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.79 · official $22.11 · 112 history records