Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:36:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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5C 0x5c9a…ab86 crypto 1831 markets active 1h ago coverage 32d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 32d only
✗ bot/MM pace (81 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$2,430 (-13%) realized −$2,430 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate58%917W / 657L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day80.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,461
7 days−$4,087
14 days−$2,874
30 days−$1,571
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2,933
other 0% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (81 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-2.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 263 -42.0% -47.6% 32% 32% -65.8%
≤30d 1532 +7.8% -2.5% 58% 58% -17.3%
≤90d 1574 +7.5% -2.7% 58% 58% -17.9%
all 1574 +7.5% -2.7% 58% 58% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover80.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.7% 58% -17.9%
10% ← realistic here -12.0% 57% -25.8%
15% -20.5% 57% -33.0%
20% -28.3% 56% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +8% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +8% → late +7% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$14 · ×0.58 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,430
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses917 / 657
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1574 / 1831
History coverage32d ⚠
Avg bet$10
Trades / day80.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1574 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $166 −$166 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 17 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $166 −$166 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $9 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $9 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $0 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $18 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $30 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $8 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $27 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $11 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $11 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $11 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records