trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 56% | 52% | -5.2% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 56% | 52% | -5.2% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 54% | 50% | -7.9% |
| all | 27 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 52% | 48% | -8.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.4% | 48% | -8.1% |
| 10% | -20.8% | 30% | -16.9% |
| 15% | -28.5% | 22% | -24.9% |
| 20% | -35.5% | 15% | -32.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 69¢ | 68¢ | $500 | $496 | −$4 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 70¢ | 69¢ | $500 | $496 | −$4 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $2,029 | −$2,000 | -99% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $335 | −$250 | -75% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $1,020 | −$525 | -52% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $508 | −$420 | -83% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2AM ET | Jun 20 | $1,019 | −$95 | -9% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1AM ET | Jun 20 | $251 | +$50 | +20% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $505 | +$220 | +44% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $2,621 | +$299 | +11% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $658 | +$426 | +65% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $3,360 | +$900 | +27% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $3,531 | +$973 | +28% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $753 | −$372 | -49% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $56 | −$52 | -93% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $5,122 | +$398 | +8% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $305 | −$300 | -98% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1,059 | +$411 | +39% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $153 | +$364 | +238% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $1,508 | +$300 | +20% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $3,010 | +$361 | +12% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $103 | −$47 | -46% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $2,011 | +$428 | +21% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $255 | −$136 | -54% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $507 | +$473 | +93% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $1,010 | +$528 | +52% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $505 | −$478 | -95% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Apr 12 | $15,093 | −$692 | -5% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 22 | $4,997 | $0 | -0% |