Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:00:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c95…98ca
sports · 81 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$34 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$33 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$132
Realized−$33
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses44 / 26
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions10
Markets (closed)70 / 81
History coverage32d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day4.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 10 History 70 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$13
14 days−$4
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 88¢ 88¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 82¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 76¢ 76¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 79¢ 76¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-3%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 82¢ 81¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? No 6¢ 6¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Spurs 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 63¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Lynn Vision 39¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons Pistons 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Spurs 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 77¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 40¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Valencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettini Matteo Berrettini 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 91¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs Vitality 78¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $46 +$14 +30%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $20 −$1 -4%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $17 +$2 +11%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 +$3 +57%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $8 +$2 +21%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $6 +$3 +53%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $15 +$2 +10%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $5 +$2 +36%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $4 +$1 +18%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $2 +$2 +82%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $14 −$2 -11%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $3 +$3 +109%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $11 +$1 +11%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $7 −$7 -99%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $11 −$11 -99%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 +$2 +23%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $3 +$1 +42%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $3 +$1 +39%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $3 +$2 +50%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $17 +$6 +36%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2 +$2 +101%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 05 $10 −$7 -62%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $11 −$11 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $10 +$3 +34%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $4 +$2 +59%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $5 +$3 +67%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $1 +$1 +86%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 26 $3 +$2 +73%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 25 $3 −$3 -98%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 25 $3 +$3 +83%
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT Sou May 22 $8 $0 +3%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 22 $5 −$5 -99%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks May 20 $3 +$1 +42%
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch S May 19 $20 −$13 -64%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Eu May 19 $24 +$1 +4%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 19 $1 +$2 +197%
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs GenOne (BO3) - BC Game Ma May 18 $18 +$2 +11%
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group A May 18 $18 +$1 +6%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series May 18 $7 −$2 -22%
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-17? May 18 $8 +$1 +15%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playo May 18 $18 +$1 +7%
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Vexa (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage May 17 $18 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: cirahvi vs KAJO (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Seaso May 17 $15 +$1 +7%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs May 17 $15 +$1 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 71% −$41
other 26% +$12
crypto 1% −$1
politics 1% −$2
world 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 76¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 79¢ $15 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? A BUY 45¢ $10 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 83¢ $15 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $10 2h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 100¢ $60 4h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 77¢ $20 20h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 59¢ $19 20h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $15 21h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $20 21h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 91¢ $20 21h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 82¢ $7 21h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $20 21h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 6¢ $1 21h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 91¢ $10 21h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 87¢ $10 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $3 21h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 76¢ $26 26h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 90¢ $17 39h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 100¢ $6 43h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 46¢ $3 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 54¢ $3 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 82¢ $8 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 55¢ $3 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $5 2d
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo SELL XLG Gaming 99¢ $17 3d
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo BUY XLG Gaming 98¢ $11 3d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL Legacy 100¢ $7 3d
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series SELL Virtus.pro 100¢ $4 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 +9.1% -1.3% 72% 68% -4.6%
≤30d 66 -5.0% -14.0% 62% 47% -12.4%
≤90d 70 -5.1% -14.2% 63% 47% -14.6%
all 70 -5.1% -14.2% 63% 47% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.2% 47% -14.6%
10% -22.4% 34% -22.8%
15% -29.9% 29% -30.3%
20% -36.7% 17% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $131.97 · official $141.97 · 165 history records