Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c93…77a5
crypto · 595 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$481 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$485 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$485
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses298 / 477
Open positions1
Markets (closed)775 / 595
History coverage4d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day758.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 775 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$488
7 days−$485
14 days−$485
30 days−$485
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 42¢ 100¢ $6 $13 +$8 (+136%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 24¢ 12¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-48%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 44¢ 88¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$7 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$9 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -115%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$3 -127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$5 -69%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$146
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $9 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $8 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $9 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $8 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $6 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $9 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $9 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $8 34m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-30.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 775 -22.7% -30.1% 38% 31% -12.9%
≤30d 775 -22.7% -30.1% 38% 31% -12.9%
≤90d 775 -22.7% -30.1% 38% 31% -12.9%
all 775 -22.7% -30.1% 38% 31% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover758.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.1% 31% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -36.8% 24% -21.3%
15% -42.9% 19% -28.9%
20% -48.5% 15% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.19 · official $17.45 · 3500 history records