Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:35:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c86…fc6e
crypto · 24 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$28 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses14 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)24 / 24
History coverage7d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 24 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$8
14 days−$28
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$15 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 09 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 08 $26 −$24 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 07 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 07 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$13 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 07 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 06 $11 +$42 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 06 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 06 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 06 $21 −$20 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $11 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $23 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $11 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -4.2% -13.4% 61% 30% -12.5%
≤30d 24 -8.2% -17.0% 58% 29% -18.9%
≤90d 24 -8.2% -17.0% 58% 29% -18.9%
all 24 -8.2% -17.0% 58% 29% -18.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.0% 29% -18.9%
10% -24.9% 21% -26.7%
15% -32.2% 21% -33.8%
20% -38.8% 21% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 43 history records