Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T13:41:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5C 0x5c7c…3241 crypto 127 markets active 1h ago coverage 12d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL +$32 (+2%) realized +$32 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate69%87W / 40L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day15.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$145
7 days−$145
14 days−$154
30 days−$154
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$154
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -6.9% -15.8% 58% 48% -16.6%
≤30d 127 -6.5% -15.4% 69% 43% -16.7%
≤90d 127 -6.5% -15.4% 69% 43% -16.7%
all 127 -6.5% -15.4% 69% 43% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.4% 43% -16.7%
10% -23.5% 28% -24.7%
15% -30.9% 20% -31.9%
20% -37.6% 12% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
36% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$12 · ×0.31 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.68 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$32
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses87 / 40
Open positions0
Markets (closed)127 / 127
History coverage12d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day15.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 127 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 26 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 26 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 26 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 26 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 26 $16 +$13 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 26 $46 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 26 $35 −$5 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 26 $21 +$18 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 26 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 26 $30 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 26 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 26 $38 +$34 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 26 $31 −$7 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 26 $16 +$14 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 26 $26 +$11 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 26 $21 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 26 $41 −$4 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 26 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 26 $21 +$14 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 26 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 26 $31 +$19 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 26 $15 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 26 $15 +$9 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 26 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 26 $26 +$11 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$17 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 26 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 26 $15 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 26 $15 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 26 $15 +$9 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 26 $94 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 26 $30 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 26 $15 +$6 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 26 $41 +$16 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 26 $30 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$6 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$4 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 321 history records