Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T10:11:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
5C 0x5c7b…b427 other 5 markets active 151d ago coverage 41d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$24,564 (-74%) realized −$24,564 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -100% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -100% what you keep after slip
Net edge-100%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 5L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6,621per market
Trades / day4.2pace
Kalshi-fit40%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
economics 99% −$24,169
other 1% −$395
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 5 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.2 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI — too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -100% · $-wt -179% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
28.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$4,913 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

41d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$24,564
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage41d
Avg bet$6,621
Trades / day4.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit40%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 5 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m Jan 29 $8,522 −$8,513 -100%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 28 $24,187 −$15,657 -65%
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025? Dec 29 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025? Dec 29 $250 −$250 -100%
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025? Dec 25 $130 −$130 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $1,544 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $26 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $0 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $6 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $7 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $28 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $3 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $4 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $4 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $0 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $231 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $201 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $231 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $3 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $232 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $5 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $0 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $15 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $0 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $0 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $155 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $46 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $1 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $11 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $4 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $29 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $1 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $0 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $1 150d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m BUY Yes 1¢ $0 150d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 172 history records