Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:45:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c7a…1a97
crypto · 923 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,292 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,291 · open −$46
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$561
Realized−$2,291
Unrealized−$46
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses778 / 146
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)924 / 923
History coverage10d
Avg bet$423
Trades / day317.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 6 History 924 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,639
7 days−$2,062
14 days−$2,291
30 days−$2,291
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No 41¢ 34¢ $167 $137 −$30 (-18%)
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $99 $100 +$1 (+1%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Yes 58¢ 50¢ $116 $100 −$16 (-14%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 66¢ 66¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 50¢ 50¢ $101 $99 −$2 (-2%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 Yes 30¢ 32¢ $23 $25 +$2 (+10%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 31¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+222%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+23%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 85¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+18%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$1 -512%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 14 $0 +$22 +30157%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC? Jun 14 $17 −$33 -200%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 14 $25 −$50 -200%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$2 -1150%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC? Jun 14 $3 −$6 -200%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $17,114 −$220 -1%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $20,525 −$72 -0%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $7,544 −$99 -1%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $18,396 −$175 -1%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $16,964 −$139 -1%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $22,437 −$139 -1%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $12,952 −$45 -0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 14 $7,903 −$29 -0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 14 $5,766 −$21 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $15,703 −$71 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $18,296 −$69 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 13 $10,728 −$38 -0%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $15,556 −$126 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet Jun 13 $8,919 −$38 -0%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no Jun 13 $424 −$2 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $13,682 −$54 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $6,147 −$20 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Jun 13 $180 −$6 -4%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $17 −$2 -12%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $2,310 −$8 -0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $6,949 −$26 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $20,135 −$85 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 70% −$1,619
politics 19% −$277
crypto 6% −$253
economics 3% −$54
world 1% −$57
culture 0% −$3
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 84¢ $554 8m
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 84¢ $561 10m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 SELL No 65¢ $13 17m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 SELL No 65¢ $32 18m
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $546 19m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 SELL No 65¢ $5 20m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 BUY No 71¢ $54 22m
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $547 23m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 SELL Yes 25¢ $19 27m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 BUY Yes 28¢ $21 27m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 BUY Yes 31¢ $24 29m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 83¢ $503 30m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 84¢ $509 33m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 90¢ $547 42m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL Yes 60¢ $120 45m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 90¢ $552 46m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY Yes 57¢ $114 46m
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? BUY No 33¢ $69 48m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY Yes 59¢ $118 49m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL No 40¢ $2 50m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL No 40¢ $40 51m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY No 44¢ $1 51m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY No 44¢ $1 51m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY No 44¢ $36 51m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY No 44¢ $1 51m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY No 44¢ $2 51m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY No 44¢ $1 51m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY No 44¢ $2 51m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY No 44¢ $2 51m
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 92¢ $442 52m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 465 +4.9% -5.1% 79% 6% -10.1%
≤30d 924 +2.3% -7.4% 84% 4% -10.1%
≤90d 924 +2.3% -7.4% 84% 4% -10.1%
all 924 +2.3% -7.4% 84% 4% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover317.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.4% 4% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.3% 1% -18.7%
15% -24.4% 1% -26.5%
20% -31.8% 1% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $561.25 · official $560.03 (match) · 3500 history records