Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:31:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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5C 0x5c79…ea52 crypto 1526 markets active 1h ago coverage 21d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 20d only
✗ bot/MM pace (98 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$371 (-2%) realized −$377 · open +$6
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate74%1114W / 383L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day97.7pace
Fees−$26est.
Kalshi-fit80%portable
Net worth$189now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$101
7 days−$55
14 days−$103
30 days−$169
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 70% +$100
other 19% −$238
sports 11% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (98 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 327 -4.7% -13.8% 54% 49% -12.0%
≤30d 1497 -1.3% -10.7% 74% 31% -10.4%
≤90d 1497 -1.3% -10.7% 74% 31% -10.4%
all 1497 -1.3% -10.7% 74% 31% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover97.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 31% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 22% -19.0%
15% -27.0% 16% -26.8%
20% -34.2% 12% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
55% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$6 · ×0.32 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$189
Realized−$377
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses1114 / 383
Est. fees paid−$26
Open positions29
Markets (closed)1497 / 1526
History coverage21d ⚠
Avg bet$11
Trades / day97.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 29 History 1497 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Diane Parry 62¢ 93¢ $8 $12 +$4 (+50%)
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka West Indies 68¢ 100¢ $8 $12 +$4 (+47%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Shuai Zhang Shuai Zhang 46¢ 48¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+5%)
Halle Open: Max Schoenhaus vs Learner Tien Learner Tien 81¢ 83¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+2%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) G2 62¢ 64¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+2%)
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkari Maria Sakkari 40¢ 40¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 56¢ 56¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Felix Auger-Aliassime 72¢ 72¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Grass Court Championships: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Anastasia Potapova Anastasia Potapova 48¢ 48¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi Suzan Lamens 77¢ 74¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-3%)
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) 9z 68¢ 66¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-4%)
Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs Saigon Warriors (+1.5) KT Rolster Challengers 65¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+54%)
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner Galions 43¢ 42¢ $7 $6 −$0 (-3%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster Challengers 79¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+27%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifier KT Rolster Challengers 90¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+11%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 6.5 Corners Under 58¢ 57¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinina Anhelina Kalinina 88¢ 88¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score Yes 49¢ 48¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentova Marie Bouzkova 57¢ 60¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Galions 41¢ 42¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Galions 41¢ 42¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster Challengers 86¢ 87¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 58¢ 58¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 65¢ 64¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs TDK 82¢ 50¢ $8 $5 −$3 (-38%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Almería end in a draw? Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stag Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Mai Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 15 $5 +$1 +24%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 15 $8 +$7 +86%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5) Jun 15 $5 +$7 +134%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 15 $8 +$7 +83%
Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs LOUD (BO1) - South America League Stage 1 Gr Jun 14 $8 +$1 +8%
Málaga CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $3 +$1 +42%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 14 $8 +$10 +124%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty Leag Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff Jun 14 $5 +$8 +158%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 14 $5 +$9 +172%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $5 +$6 +109%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 14 $8 +$7 +83%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 14 $5 +$6 +124%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $5 +$3 +57%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 14 $8 +$10 +119%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gran Jun 14 $5 +$1 +11%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 14 $5 +$4 +86%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan Jun 14 $8 +$1 +10%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $8 +$8 +101%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $5 +$5 +90%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Jun 14 $5 +$4 +86%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 14 $8 −$1 -7%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $8 −$2 -21%
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $5 +$3 +50%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $8 +$4 +50%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Ind Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Harry Wendelken BUY Harry Wendelken 37¢ $4 52m
Grass Court Championships: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Anastasia Potapova BUY Anastasia Potapova 48¢ $8 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinin BUY Anhelina Kalinina 88¢ $5 1h
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $5 1h
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 6.5 Corners BUY Under 58¢ $6 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi BUY Suzan Lamens 77¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Series BUY TDK 82¢ $8 1h
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playo BUY EDward Gaming 58¢ $5 1h
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY 9z 68¢ $8 1h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 86¢ $5 1h
Halle Open: Terence Atmane vs Martin Landaluce BUY Terence Atmane 37¢ $5 1h
Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassime BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 72¢ $3 2h
Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassime BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 72¢ $2 2h
Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassime BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 72¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $8 2h
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner BUY Galions 43¢ $7 2h
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winner BUY Galions 41¢ $5 2h
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner BUY Galions 41¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 65¢ $5 2h
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentova BUY Marie Bouzkova 57¢ $5 3h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY G2 62¢ $8 3h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters La BUY KT Rolster Challengers 90¢ $5 3h
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkari BUY Maria Sakkari 40¢ $8 3h
Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs Saigon Warriors (+1.5) BUY KT Rolster Challengers 65¢ $5 3h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 79¢ $5 4h
Halle Open: Max Schoenhaus vs Learner Tien BUY Learner Tien 81¢ $8 4h
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 62¢ $5 5h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 68¢ $8 6h
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Mai BUY Michael Chandler 20¢ $5 7h
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Josh Hokit 80¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $188.62 · official $188.57 (match) · 3500 history records