Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:12:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c6c…998f
sports · 593 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$23,605 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23,427 · open −$267
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6,329
Realized−$23,427
Unrealized−$267
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses296 / 365
Whale WR (big bets)63%
Est. fees paid−$1,009
Open positions54
Markets (closed)661 / 593
History coverage20d
Avg bet$281
Trades / day147.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 54 History 661 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17,578
7 days−$8,344
14 days−$25,185
30 days−$23,427
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 70¢ 72¢ $1,230 $1,248 +$19 (+2%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 57¢ $523 $509 −$13 (-3%)
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30? No 87¢ 90¢ $447 $462 +$14 (+3%)
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 54¢ 63¢ $270 $315 +$45 (+17%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30? No 78¢ 97¢ $235 $290 +$55 (+23%)
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? No 73¢ 80¢ $257 $279 +$22 (+9%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $236 $230 −$7 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 71¢ 46¢ $309 $198 −$111 (-36%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 97¢ 99¢ $193 $197 +$4 (+2%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 69¢ 98¢ $139 $196 +$58 (+41%)
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? No 95¢ 99¢ $186 $194 +$8 (+4%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No 91¢ 84¢ $200 $184 −$15 (-8%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 43¢ 42¢ $177 $176 −$1 (-1%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? No 95¢ 94¢ $152 $151 −$1 (-1%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? No 99¢ 100¢ $126 $128 +$1 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 58¢ 57¢ $104 $104 −$1 (-1%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? No 96¢ 94¢ $96 $94 −$2 (-2%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 10¢ 8¢ $117 $88 −$30 (-25%)
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No 82¢ 82¢ $82 $82 +$1 (+1%)
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 84¢ 82¢ $84 $82 −$2 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 79¢ 78¢ $79 $78 −$2 (-2%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $77 $76 −$1 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 46¢ $66 $65 −$1 (-1%)
Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 96¢ 93¢ $64 $62 −$2 (-3%)
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 86¢ 94¢ $52 $57 +$5 (+9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-23? Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 13 $1 +$5 +373%
Will SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10? Jun 13 $1,699 −$1,699 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Sabres vs. Canadiens Jun 13 $185 −$187 -101%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +105%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Jun 13 $235 −$235 -100%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-16? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? Jun 13 $74 −$74 -100%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-10? Jun 13 $67 −$65 -97%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17? Jun 13 $76 −$76 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Avalanche vs. Wild Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 13 $139 −$139 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Jun 13 $267 −$267 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Pla Jun 13 $38 −$19 -49%
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs Jun 13 $105 −$105 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 13 $140 −$104 -74%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$45 +1438%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B Jun 13 $647 −$648 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group S Jun 13 $117 −$117 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 13 $85 −$85 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoff Jun 13 $4 +$121 +3334%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - CS Asia Championship Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12? Jun 13 $80 −$73 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? Jun 13 $0 +$60 +39166%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 13 $554 −$554 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MIBR (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group B Jun 13 $39 −$40 -102%
Dota 2: Aurora vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Jun 13 $0 +$38 +36331%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $34 −$22 -66%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 13 $22 +$77 +355%
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Jun 13 $7 −$4 -57%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$10 +159%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $12 +$20 +170%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 13 $143 −$143 -100%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? Jun 13 $84 −$73 -87%
Thunder vs. Spurs Jun 13 $1,681 −$1,683 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on May 11? Jun 13 $141 −$139 -98%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 13 $137 −$137 -100%
BNB Up or Down on May 10? Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 13 $18 −$37 -206%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $21 −$24 -111%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 13 $84 −$84 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 51% −$8,573
other 22% −$1,829
finance 17% +$2,679
crypto 4% −$73
tech 4% +$450
world 2% −$612
economics 1% −$9
politics 0% −$103
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 58¢ $59 7m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $5 28m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY No 95¢ $5 28m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 58¢ $5 30m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 58¢ $42 37m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 18¢ $5 50m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 43¢ $44 52m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 24¢ $11 55m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 43¢ $44 57m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 43¢ $44 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $355 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY No 95¢ $122 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 10¢ $2 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 10¢ $10 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $49 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY No 95¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 42¢ $2 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 10¢ $1 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 10¢ $10 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $8 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $10 2h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 10¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 27¢ $37 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 79¢ $7 2h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 10¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 79¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)+12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 324 +24.1% +12.2% 42% 35% -18.4%
≤30d 661 +24.5% +12.7% 45% 37% -24.0%
≤90d 661 +24.5% +12.7% 45% 37% -24.0%
all 661 +24.5% +12.7% 45% 37% -24.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover147.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +12.7% 37% -24.0%
10% ← realistic here +1.9% 30% -31.3%
15% -7.9% 24% -37.9%
20% -17.0% 20% -44.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,328.63 · official $6,328.65 (match) · 3500 history records