Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:36:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
5C 0x5c61…fd12 crypto 663 markets active 7d ago coverage 146d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$805 (-10%) realized −$805 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate45%299W / 364L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day16.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$111
14 days−$111
30 days−$111
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$846
other 0% −$13
sports 0% +$2
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-20.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -43.8% -49.1% 24% 24% -47.6%
≤30d 70 -43.8% -49.1% 24% 24% -47.6%
≤90d 277 -78.4% -80.5% 11% 10% -84.2%
all 663 -12.6% -20.9% 45% 40% -19.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover16.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.9% 40% -19.4%
10% -28.5% 34% -27.1%
15% -35.4% 28% -34.2%
20% -41.7% 22% -40.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -82% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +34% → late -59% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$8 · ×0.84 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.69 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

146d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$805
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses299 / 364
Open positions0
Markets (closed)663 / 663
History coverage146d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day16.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 663 Trades
no open positions (41 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +159%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$4 +218%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$4 +190%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$9 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$6 +114%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$9 +252%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$7 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$6 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$11 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$18 +179%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$4 +110%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $4 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $4 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3112 history records