trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +20.8% | +9.3% | 100% | 100% | +9.3% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -4.7% | -13.8% | 62% | 56% | -1.3% |
| ≤90d | 271 | -3.9% | -13.0% | 68% | 28% | -7.7% |
| all | 293 | -5.3% | -14.3% | 67% | 28% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.3% | 28% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -22.5% | 26% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -30.0% | 24% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -36.9% | 22% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? | Yes | 43¢ | 42¢ | $90 | $89 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Deni Avdija be on the cover of NBA 2K27? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $50 | $51 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 85¢ | 86¢ | $30 | $31 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Will Caleb Wilson be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+0%) |
| New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces | New York Liberty | 44¢ | 58¢ | $20 | $26 | +$6 (+32%) |
| Will LaMarcus Aldridge be the next Portland Trail Blazers head coach? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? | Jun 23 | $15 | +$3 | +21% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5 | Jun 09 | $35 | +$27 | +76% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $102 | +$111 | +109% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5 | Jun 06 | $33 | +$23 | +71% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | Jun 05 | $43 | −$42 | -99% |
| Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | Jun 03 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5 | Jun 03 | $18 | −$18 | -98% |
| Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP? | May 31 | $313 | +$8 | +2% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 31 | $41 | +$29 | +70% |
| NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5 | May 29 | $91 | +$29 | +32% |
| Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | May 29 | $86 | +$41 | +47% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | May 27 | $43 | +$31 | +73% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 26 | $81 | −$80 | -98% |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | May 26 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) | May 26 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |
| Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP? | May 26 | $10 | +$2 | +23% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-1.5) | May 23 | $86 | −$84 | -99% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | May 21 | $41 | +$36 | +90% |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | May 20 | $41 | +$36 | +90% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5 | May 19 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) | May 19 | $20 | +$18 | +90% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 18 | $31 | +$51 | +165% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 18.5 | May 18 | $30 | −$29 | -96% |
| Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship? | May 17 | $5 | +$2 | +31% |
| NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5 | May 16 | $56 | +$127 | +227% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 14 | $31 | +$46 | +152% |
| Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 0.5 | May 14 | $693 | +$6 | +1% |
| Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 0.5 | May 14 | $693 | +$6 | +1% |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | May 13 | $10 | $0 | -5% |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | May 13 | $16 | −$1 | -5% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5 | May 13 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | May 13 | $49 | +$41 | +83% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | May 13 | $20 | +$10 | +50% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5 | May 13 | $11 | +$9 | +80% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $71 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Jalen Duren win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP? | May 12 | $100 | −$1 | -1% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 12 | $109 | +$17 | +16% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $0 | $0 | -97% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) | May 12 | $20 | +$15 | +73% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12? | May 11 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 25.5 | May 11 | $22 | $0 | +2% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5 | May 11 | $20 | +$1 | +5% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | May 11 | $25 | +$24 | +93% |
| Will Miami Heat receive the first overall pick at the 2026 NBA Draft L | May 11 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 11 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Chicago Bulls receive the first overall pick at the 2026 NBA Draf | May 11 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | May 10 | $11 | +$9 | +90% |
| Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5 | May 09 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |