trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -53.2% | -57.6% | 33% | 25% | -94.1% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -53.2% | -57.6% | 33% | 25% | -94.1% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -53.2% | -57.6% | 33% | 25% | -94.1% |
| all | 12 | -53.2% | -57.6% | 33% | 25% | -94.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -57.6% | 25% | -94.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -61.7% | 17% | -94.7% |
| 15% | -65.4% | 8% | -95.2% |
| 20% | -68.8% | 0% | -95.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | Yes | 21¢ | 20¢ | $148 | $142 | −$6 (-4%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 75¢ | 74¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Draw at halftime? | Jun 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Czechia vs. Mexico: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 25 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers | Jun 25 | $1 | $0 | +23% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets | Jun 25 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Morocco vs. Haiti: Draw at halftime? | Jun 25 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $1 | $0 | +11% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 25 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5 | Jun 25 | $1 | $0 | +41% |
| Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5 | Jun 25 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins | Jun 24 | $42 | −$42 | -100% |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | Jun 24 | $1 | $0 | -15% |