Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:43:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c40…a4a6
crypto · 97 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$27 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses60 / 36
Open positions1
Markets (closed)96 / 97
History coverage12d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day22.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 96 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$18
14 days−$27
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 86¢ 78¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$11 +66%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $1 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-22.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 94 -14.2% -22.3% 64% 44% -13.7%
≤30d 96 -14.6% -22.7% 62% 43% -15.3%
≤90d 96 -14.6% -22.7% 62% 43% -15.3%
all 96 -14.6% -22.7% 62% 43% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.7% 43% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -30.1% 23% -23.4%
15% -36.9% 12% -30.8%
20% -43.0% 5% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.91 · official $0.86 (match) · 310 history records