Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:31:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c32…2dd8
crypto · 358 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,339 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,339 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,339
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses172 / 186
Open positions0
Markets (closed)358 / 358
History coverage15d
Avg bet$87
Trades / day201.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 358 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,635
7 days+$250
14 days−$1,038
30 days+$1,339
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $155 $0 −$155 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $114 $0 −$114 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $144 $0 −$144 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $119 $0 −$119 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $128 $0 −$128 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $268 $0 −$268 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $228 $0 −$228 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $129 +$194 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $272 −$70 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $65 −$64 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $210 +$267 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $117 −$114 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $90 −$86 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $95 +$132 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $102 +$91 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $133 +$89 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $269 +$109 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $185 +$25 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $147 +$33 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$52 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $117 +$67 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $74 +$290 +390%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $236 −$228 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $187 +$64 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $54 +$154 +285%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $123 −$119 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$29 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $127 +$321 +254%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $79 −$17 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$18 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $197 +$158 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $101 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $144 −$138 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $161 −$155 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $207 +$287 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $56 −$54 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $201 −$191 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $232 +$420 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $90 +$24 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $105 +$83 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $54 −$53 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $77 −$73 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $134 −$128 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $63 +$75 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $105 +$112 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $141 −$139 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$18 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,339
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $22 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $54 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $53 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $11 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $17 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $23 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $20 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $51 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $26 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 200 -10.9% -19.4% 40% 32% -8.1%
≤30d 358 -1.5% -10.9% 48% 41% -5.6%
≤90d 358 -1.5% -10.9% 48% 41% -5.6%
all 358 -1.5% -10.9% 48% 41% -5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover201.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 41% -5.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 37% -14.6%
15% -27.2% 32% -22.9%
20% -34.4% 28% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records