trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 78% | 56% | -13.2% |
| ≤30d | 17 | +20.5% | +9.0% | 82% | 71% | -0.9% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +20.5% | +9.0% | 82% | 71% | -0.9% |
| all | 29 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 69% | 48% | -8.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.0% | 48% | -8.7% |
| 10% | -18.6% | 38% | -17.4% |
| 15% | -26.5% | 24% | -25.4% |
| 20% | -33.7% | 14% | -32.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $40 | +$17 | +43% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $50 | +$5 | +10% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $50 | +$7 | +13% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $60 | +$13 | +21% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $30 | +$7 | +25% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $30 | +$26 | +84% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $30 | +$7 | +23% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$12 | +116% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $40 | +$7 | +16% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $30 | +$31 | +101% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $15 | +$17 | +114% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $42 | +$15 | +35% |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | Jun 11 | $30 | +$13 | +43% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | May 19 | $100 | −$22 | -22% |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? | May 19 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 202 | May 11 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will the next Pope be from Europe? | May 09 | $100 | −$41 | -41% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | May 08 | $160 | +$11 | +7% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $99000 and $101000 on May 9? | May 08 | $10 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | May 07 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "America" 10+ times during his University of Alabama co | May 02 | $20 | +$9 | +45% |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after th | May 01 | $360 | +$21 | +6% |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 29 | $554 | +$20 | +4% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election? | Apr 29 | $278 | +$77 | +28% |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on Israel next? | Apr 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |