trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 29 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 55% | 45% | -10.2% |
| ≤30d | 29 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 55% | 45% | -10.2% |
| ≤90d | 29 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 55% | 45% | -10.2% |
| all | 29 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 55% | 45% | -10.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.3% | 45% | -10.2% |
| 10% | -17.1% | 38% | -18.8% |
| 15% | -25.1% | 31% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -32.4% | 24% | -33.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 12¢ | $265 | $300 | +$35 (+13%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $120 | +$14 | +12% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $40 | +$27 | +67% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $32 | +$20 | +62% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $20 | +$21 | +105% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $71 | +$23 | +32% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $14 | −$13 | -98% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $75 | +$9 | +12% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $68 | +$7 | +10% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $41 | −$21 | -51% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $24 | −$23 | -98% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $189 | +$14 | +7% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $134 | +$55 | +41% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $101 | +$48 | +48% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $26 | +$63 | +246% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $19 | +$56 | +287% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $13 | +$12 | +93% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 15 | $53 | −$6 | -11% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 14 | $21 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $50 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $19 | +$4 | +23% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $59 | +$32 | +54% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $93 | −$92 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $101 | −$100 | -100% |