Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:56:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c1b…555b
crypto · 398 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$902 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$907 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$907
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses158 / 239
Est. fees paid−$35
Open positions1
Markets (closed)397 / 398
History coverage15d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day196.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 397 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$103
7 days−$342
14 days−$831
30 days−$907
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 Over 40¢ 62¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+56%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$10 -52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$5 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$2 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$4 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$8 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$8 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$13 -54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$17 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$14 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$14 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% −$646
sports 20% −$261
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $14 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-24.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 235 -20.8% -28.3% 34% 19% -19.3%
≤30d 397 -16.1% -24.1% 40% 24% -16.9%
≤90d 397 -16.1% -24.1% 40% 24% -16.9%
all 397 -16.1% -24.1% 40% 24% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover196.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.1% 24% -16.9%
10% ← realistic here -31.4% 15% -24.9%
15% -38.0% 8% -32.1%
20% -44.1% 4% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.05 · official $2.05 (match) · 3500 history records