Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:36:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

5C
0x5c18…c208
sports · 1852 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$384 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$357 · open −$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized−$357
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses815 / 893
Est. fees paid−$262
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1708 / 1852
History coverage112d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day25.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 8 History 1708 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$85
7 days+$243
14 days+$382
30 days+$714
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 38¢ 38¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 62¢ 58¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-6%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Over 19¢ 18¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-3%)
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 4.5 Over 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-97%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 3.5 Over 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? No 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
England vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5 Over 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Mexico vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5 Over 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5 Over 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21? Yes 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Zamalek SC vs. Ceramica Cleopatra Club: O/U 2.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Over 73¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5 Over 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 Over 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Devils vs. Stars Stars 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 Over 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5 Over 86¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 3.5 Over 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5 Over 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5 Over 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Pistons vs. Hornets Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-14? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-02-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-02-15? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-02-09? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-02-15? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. CD Tondela: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lions Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
CD Nacional vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will NEC win on 2026-01-09? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Clippers vs. Rockets Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-13? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $48 +$80 +166%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 +$24 +712%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 +$10 +188%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $5 +$5 +104%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $4 +$1 +36%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $11 +$9 +89%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $12 +$8 +67%
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? Jun 10 $3 +$4 +139%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $2 −$1 -25%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $9 +$8 +96%
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $6 −$6 -97%
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Argentina vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $24 −$24 -100%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $5 +$7 +150%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $3 +$3 +119%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $4 +$1 +30%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $3 +$7 +233%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $3 +$2 +46%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $1 +$9 +887%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 +$5 +163%
Will Hungary vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw? Jun 09 $3 $0 -4%
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $4 +$1 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% −$105
other 8% −$494
world 0% +$249
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 19¢ $6 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $8 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 35¢ $5 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $5 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 29¢ $5 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $4 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 3h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 62¢ $6 3h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 84¢ $59 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 19h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 12¢ $3 19h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 34¢ $5 19h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $46 20h
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 49¢ $0 2d
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 49¢ $5 2d
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 22¢ $1 2d
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 2d
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? SELL Yes 69¢ $7 2d
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? SELL Yes 17¢ $2 2d
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 17¢ $1 2d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 53¢ $11 2d
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 17¢ $0 2d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 73¢ $4 2d
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 59¢ $12 2d
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 22¢ $0 2d
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 104 +21.7% +10.1% 48% 47% +35.6%
≤30d 595 +16.0% +4.9% 45% 45% +12.6%
≤90d 1451 +5.6% -4.5% 47% 46% -10.4%
all 1708 +3.4% -6.5% 48% 46% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.5% 46% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -15.4% 44% -19.1%
15% -23.6% 40% -26.9%
20% -31.1% 34% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.00 · official $19.00 (match) · 3500 history records